Municipal revenue forecast by SVM method and compared with statistical methods Case Study: City of Bojnoord

Ameneh Arjmandzadeh¹ Reza Rajabi²

1) University of Lorestan,
2) Professional & Technical Center,

IOI Code : XYCH-AECZF
Publication : 3rd International conference on Management , Economics and Humanities(icmeh.org)
Abstract :
    Financial management one important issues in management system of municipalities and it is one of particular interests of the Ministry of Interior, and through management system Pathology it was diagnosed that a serious injury in municipalities financial management is the Inefficiency in their budgeting method. According to the principles of budget, The main requirement to budget receipts is revenue receipts or in other words Forecasting revenue receipts in the budget which It entails correct prediction of different income sources based on the principles and methods of experience. This paper examines the types of anticipated revenues in the municipality of Bojnoord. The aim of this paper is to introduce Support Vector Machine as an estimator which has not been used for municipal revenue forecasting yet. As well as regression and average revenue forecast method has been used and a comparison with certain income of year 1394 is conducted. Calculations and simulation results show that Support vector machine can be a useful tool in predicting revenue of the municipality.

Keywords : support vector machine revenue forecast municipality